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We propose implied spreads (IS) and normalized implied spreads (NIS) as simple measures to characterize option prices. IS is the credit spread of an option's implied bond, the portfolio long a risk-free bond and short a put option. NIS normalizes IS by the risk-neutral default probability and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585425
This paper develops a dynamic programming model of the optimal refunding strategy and the corresponding value of a callable bond. The model differs from previous work on this subject primarily in that it explicitly admits the possibility of differences between the issuer's expectations of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478918
Widespread violations of stochastic dominance by one-month S&P 500 index call options over 1986-2006 imply that a …-2006 which may be due to the lower quality of the data but, in any case, does not provide evidence that the options market is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464103
We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand … options, especially out-of-money puts, which helps explain their apparent expensiveness and the smirk. Second, demand patterns … help explain the prices of single-stock options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466828
transaction costs, becomes stochastically dominated when overlaid with a zero-net-cost portfolio of S&P 500 options bought at …. Similar results obtain with options on the CAC and DAX indices. The results are explained neither by priced factors nor a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454974
We document that the implied volatility skew of S&P 500 index puts is non-decreasing in the disaster index and risk-neutral variance, contrary to the implications of a broad class of no-arbitrage models. The key to the puzzle lies in recognizing that, as the disaster risk increases, customers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457506
guarantee makes put options on the financial sector index cheap relative to put options on its member banks. The basket … deep out-of-the-money options. The spread peaks at 12.5 cents per dollar, or 70% of the value of the index put. The rise in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461509
The historical returns on equity index options are well known to be strikingly negative. That is typically explained … replicated, or synthetic, options. Theoretically, it derives conditions under which convex marginal utility leads synthetic … options to also have negative excess returns. Empirically, synthetic options have CAPM alphas near zero over the period 1926 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436964
We develop a tractable framework to study the optimal design of stress scenarios. A principal wants to manage the unknown risk exposures of a set of agents. She asks the agents to report their losses under hypothetical scenarios before mandating actions to mitigate the exposures. We show how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190995
We establish that the recursive, state-space methods of Kalman filtering and smoothing can be used to implement the Doan, Litterman, and Sims (1983) approach to econometric forecast and policy evaluation. Compared with the methods outlined in Doan, Litterman, and Sims, the Kalman algorithms are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477752