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Tasks and Black-white Inequality over the Long Twentieth Century
Gray, Rowena; O'Keefe, Siobhan M.; Quincy, Sarah; Ward, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We present new evidence on the long-run trend of occupational task content by race in the United States, 1900-2021. Black workers began the transition to better paid, cognitive-intensive modern jobs at least a generation after white workers; substantial convergence only occurred from 1960...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576573
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A Trajectories-Based Approach to Measuring Intergenerational Mobility
Chang, Yoosoon; Durlauf, Steven N.; Lee, Seunghee; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper develops an approach to intergenerational mobility in which the trajectories of parental incomes during childhood and adolescence are the conditioning objects for characterizing dependence across generations. We use functional regression methods to produce an intergenerational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247941
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Intergenerational Mobility of Daughters and Marital Sorting : New Evidence from Imperial China
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We study the role of marriage for women's intergenerational mobility during the Ming-Qing (1368-1911) period. Using status information based on the timing of marriage from family histories in Central China, already in the early 1500s it is the case that daughters from rich families attain higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372452
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The Evolution of Black-White Differences in Occupational Mobility Across Post-Civil War America
Durlauf, Steven N.; Kim, Gueyon; Lee, Dohyeon; Song, Xi - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
This paper studies long-run differences in intergenerational occupational mobility between Black and White Americans. Combining data from linked historical censuses and contemporary large-scale surveys, we provide a comprehensive set of mobility measures based on Markov chains that trace the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528409
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Cognitive Behavior Therapy Reduces Crime and Violence over 10 Years : Experimental Evidence
Blattman, Christopher; Chaskel, Sebastian; Jamison, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
In most societies, a small number of people commit the most serious violence. Short-term studies have shown that cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) can reduce such antisocial behaviors. These behavior changes may be temporary, however, especially from therapy on its own. This is unsettled,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210077
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Building Non-Discriminatory Algorithms in Selected Data
Arnold, David; Dobbie, Will; Hull, Peter - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We develop new quasi-experimental tools to understand algorithmic discrimination and build non-discriminatory algorithms when the outcome of interest is only selectively observed. These tools are applied in the context of pretrial bail decisions, where conventional algorithmic predictions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544682
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Does School Choice Increase Crime?
Bibler, Andrew; Billings, Stephen B.; Ross, Stephen L. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
School choice lotteries are an important tool for allocating access to high-quality and oversubscribed public schools. While prior evidence suggests that winning a school lottery decreases adult criminality, there is little evidence for how school choice lotteries impact non-lottery students who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226133
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Machine Learning Can Predict Shooting Victimization Well Enough to Help Prevent It
Heller, Sara B.; Jakubowski, Benjamin; Jelveh, Zubin; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
This paper shows that shootings are predictable enough to be preventable. Using arrest and victimization records for almost 644,000 people from the Chicago Police Department, we train a machine learning model to predict the risk of being shot in the next 18 months. We address central concerns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334389
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More Guns, More Unintended Consequences : The Effects of Right-to-Carry on Criminal Behavior and Policing in US Cities
Donohue, John J.; Cai, Samuel V.; Bondy, Matthew V.; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
to increase crime. The altered behavior of permit holders, career criminals, and the police combine to generate 29 and 32 … percent increases in firearm violent crime and firearm robbery respectively. The increasing firearm violence is facilitated by … a massive 35 percent increase in gun theft (p=0.06), with further crime stimulus flowing from diminished police …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334408
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Officer-Involved : The Media Language of Police Killings
Moreno, Jonathan; Ouss, Aurélie; Bayer, Patrick J.; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
This paper studies the language used in television news broadcasts to describe police killings in the United States from 2013-19. We begin by documenting that the media is significantly more likely to use several language structures - e.g., passive voice, nominalization, intransitive verbs -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334427