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The Great Recession tested the ability of the "great U.S. jobs machine" to limit the severity of unemployment in a … live up to expectations. The level and duration of unemployment increased substantially in the downturn and the growth of ….S. performance in the Great Recession contravenes conventional views of the virtues of market-driven flexibility compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459074
and Sweden). We conduct inference with mixed frequency data, combining quarterly series for unemployment, vacancies, GDP …, consumption, and investment, with annual data on unemployment flows. Parameters and shocks are estimated separately for each … country, which can then vary in terms of search and hiring costs, workers' bargaining power, unemployment benefits levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461229
We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use … in the EU rate. The response of the unemployment rate is minuscule. These findings are at odds with the actual behavior … large unemployment fluctuations. We show that aggregate productivity shocks generate the correct comovement between the UE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481623
From the perspective of a wide range of labor market outcomes, the recession that began in 2007 represents the deepest … record rise in long-term unemployment may yield a persistent residue of long-term unemployed workers with weak search … effectiveness. Second, conventional estimates suggest that the extension of Emergency Unemployment Compensation may have led to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462625
financial market - has investment fall steeply during the recession not because of any distortions with the supply of capital … capita could get somewhat lower than it was at the end of 2009, and is expected to remain below pre-recession levels even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462971
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164
claims on business income also rise. According to the leading view of unemployment-the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model …-when the incentive for job creation falls, the labor market slackens and unemployment rises. Employers recover their … when the discount rate rises. Thus high discount rates imply high unemployment. This paper does not explain why the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458792
This paper uses a sample of 116 recession episodes in developed and emerging market economies to compare the labor …-market recovery during financial crises with that of other recession episodes. It documents two new stylized facts. First, labor …-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460181
Prior to 2020, the Great Recession was the most important macroeconomic shock to the United States economy in … Recession's official end in the summer of 2009, but because it was slow and the depth of the recession so deep, it took years to … reduce slack in labor markets. But because the slow-and-steady recovery lasted so long, many pre-recession peaks were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482669
Conventional wisdom often holds that the healthcare sector fares better than other sectors during economic downturns. However, little research has examined the relationship between local economic conditions and healthcare employment. Understanding how the healthcare sector responds to economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629507