occurred prior to the start of our data. Using a natural experiment in Argentina, where some products were newly brought under …-level customs data set on a group of Latin American countries. Our estimating equation is model-based and shows that these fixed … products and other partners. When considering products that have been under preferences for a while, some learning might have …

effects of expanding exports to increase support for the incumbent's party, and job insecurity from import competition to … diminish such support. Our national-level models show for the first time that increasing imports are associated with decreasing … incumbent vote shares, and increasing exports correlate with increasing vote shares for incumbents. These effects are large and …

overall imports in 2008, taking advantage of the rich heterogeneity in trade policy and trade growth across products during …We study the growth of Chinese imports into the United States from autarky during 1950-1970 to about 15 percent of …-policy expectations. We isolate the lagged effects of past reforms and the current effects of uncertainty about future reforms. We build a …

We study unanticipated tariffs on imports of intermediate goods in a setting with firm-to-firm supply relationships …. Firms that produce differentiated products conduct costly searches for potential input suppliers and negotiate bilateral …

Section 321 of the 1930 Tariff Act allows up to $800 in imports per person per day to enter the US duty-free and with … not recorded in Census trade data. Who benefits from this type of trade, and what are the policy implications? We analyze … international shipment data, including de minimis shipments, from three global carriers and US Customs and Border Protection. Lower …

. We use US imports data that provide rich variation in the premium paid for air shipping and in time lags for ocean …