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Incentive-Compatible Unemployment Reinsurance for the Euro Area
Karajvanov, Alexander K.; Mojon, Benoît; Silva, Luiz … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We model a reinsurance mechanism for the national unemployment insurance programs of euro area member states. The risk-sharing scheme we analyze is designed to smooth country-level unemployment risk and expenditures around each country's median level, so that participation and contributions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544675
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Do Balanced Budget Rules Work? U.S. Experience and Possible Lessons for the EMU
Inman, Robert P. - 1996
The `Excessive Deficit Procedure' of the Maastricht Treaty on Economic and Monetary Union proposes two fiscal convergence conditions for entry and continued membership in the EMU: 1) a country's overall budget deficit for each fiscal year must be equal to or below 3% of GDP, and 2) a country's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472990
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A Surplus of Ambition : Can Europe Rely on Large Primary Surpluses to Solve its Debt Problem?
Eichengreen, Barry - 2014
IMF forecasts and the EU's Fiscal Compact foresee Europe's heavily indebted countries running primary budget surpluses of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt/GDP ratios down to the Compact's 60 percent target. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458350
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Debt Crises and Risk Sharing : The Role of Markets versus Sovereigns
Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem - 2014
sharing from saving into contributions from government and private saving and show that fiscal austerity programs played an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458750
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Over-optimistic Official Forecasts in the Eurozone and Fiscal Rules
Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2012
. The members of the eurozone are supposedly constrained by the fiscal caps of the Stability and Growth Pact. Yet ever since …•Despite the well-known tendency of eurozone members to exceed the 3% cap on budget deficits, often in consecutive … among eurozone forecasts. If euro area governments are not in violation of the 3% cap at the time forecasts are made …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460377
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Housing Demand and Remote Work
Mondragon, John; Wieland, Johannes - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
What explains record U.S. house price growth since late 2019? We show that the shift to remote work explains over one half of the 23.8 percent national house price increase over this period. Using variation in remote work exposure across U.S. metropolitan areas we estimate that an additional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210069
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The Marginal Propensity to Consume in Heterogeneous Agent Models
Kaplan, Greg; Violante, Giovanni L. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
What model features and calibration strategies yield a large average marginal propensity to consume (MPC) in heterogeneous agent models? Through a systematic investigation of models with different preferences, dimensions of ex-ante heterogeneity, income processes and asset structure, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210041
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Government Debt and Capital Accumulation in an Era of Low Interest Rates
Mankiw, Nicholas Gregory - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
This essay discusses the reasons for and implications of the decline in real interest rates around the world over the past several decades. It suggests that the decline in interest rates is largely explicable from trends in saving, growth, and markups. In this environment, greater government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210052
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State Dependent Government Spending Multipliers : Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity and Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations
Jo, Yoon J.; Zubairy, Sarah - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We consider a New Keynesian model with downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR) and show that government spending is much more effective in stimulating output in a low-inflation recession relative to a high-inflation recession. The government spending multiplier is large when DNWR binds, but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210053
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Liquidity Traps, Prudential Policies, and International Spillovers
Bianchi, Javier; Coulibaly, Louphou - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
This paper studies the transmission channels of monetary and macroprudential policies in an open economy framework and evaluates the normative implications for international spillovers and global welfare. An analytical decomposition uncovers the prominent role of expenditure switching for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210066