Showing 1 - 10 of 41
promotion or for the purpose of retail arbitrage. Using US supermarket scanner data covering the 2008 Global Rice Crisis, an … episode driven by an observable cost shock due an Indian ban on raw rice exports, we find that sticky prices account for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482008
which a procurement process was introduced that allowed citizens to bid to take over the implementation of a subsidized rice … reported the quality of the rice improved. Bidding committees may have avoided quality problems by choosing bidders who had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456834
rainfall shocks on rice output at the district level. Our analysis makes use of local meteorological data on rainfall in … combination with government administrative data on district-level rice output in the 1990s. We find that deviations from mean … local rainfall are positively associated with district-level rice output. 10% higher rainfall leads metric tons of rice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458365
This paper describes how three money's worth measures the benefit-to-tax ratio, the internal rate of return, and the net present value are calculated and used in analyses of social security reforms, including systems with privately managed individual accounts invested in equities. Declining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471081
Many advocates of social security privatization argue that rates of return under a defined contribution individual account system would be much higher for all than they are under the current social security system. This claim is false. The mistake comes from ignoring accrued benefits already...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471082
This paper presents a new, dynamic economic model of criminal activity. Individuals are endowed with legal and criminal human capital. Potential incomes in legal and criminal sectors depend on the level of the relevant human capital, the rate of return, and random shocks. Both types of human...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471185
In this paper we study the transition from a pay-as-you-go system of Social Security pensions to an investment-based system in an economy in which portfolio returns and capital profitability are both uncertain. The paper extends earlier studies by Feldstein and Samwick that modeled the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471784
We propose an approach to measuring the state of the economy via textual analysis of business news. From the full text of 800,000 Wall Street Journal articles for 1984-2017, we estimate a topic model that summarizes business news into interpretable topical themes and quantifies the proportion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660022
Measured as yield spreads against AAA corporate bonds, the convenience premium of agency MBS averages 47 basis points over 1995 - 2021, about half of the long-term-Treasury convenience premium. Both MBS convenience premium and issuance amount depend on mortgage rate negatively, consistent with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190993
We estimate risk-free interest rates unaffected by convenience yields on safe assets. We infer them from risky asset … prices without relying on any specific model of risk. We obtain a term structure of convenience yields with maturities up to … monetary stimulus reduce convenience yields, particularly during the crisis. We further study convenience-yield-free CIP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480084