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We survey literature on ambiguity with an emphasis on recent applications in macroeconomics and finance. Like risk …, ambiguity leads to cautious behavior and uncertainty premia in asset markets. Unlike risk, ambiguity can generate first order …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191010
assets in the economy is greater than zero, an increase in inflation uncertainty will lower the risk premia on all real … and commodity futures contracts yields mixed results. The risk premia on long-term bonds and futures have the "wrong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478775
Uncertainty in both financial markets and the real economy rises sharply during recessions. We develop a model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities. We argue that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480637
in their business cycles relative to those of advanced economies. Information on the domestic price of risk, cost of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481606
idiosyncratic entrepreneurial risk-- a risk that introduces, not only a precautionary motive for saving, but also a wedge between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461896
stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility …The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy … ("uncertainty"), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462259
superior. The intuition is simple: if underlying technologies are not convex, then risk-sharing can lower expected utility. The … likelihood of a bankruptcy cascade, "contagion," and systemic risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462933
, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities---led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463288
markets that had no connection to housing. We find that changes in the "LIB-OIS" spread, a proxy for counterparty risk, was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463426
between the maximum daily return over the past one month (MAX) and expected stock returns. Average raw and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463843