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We review theoretical and empirical work on the economic effects of the United States and China trade relations during the last decades. We first discuss the origins of the China shock, its measurement, and present methods used to study its economic effects on different outcomes. We then focus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361989
This paper uses a new dataset on the universe of Canadian imports and tariffs between 1924 and 1936, disaggregated into 1697 goods originating in 112 countries, to analyze the impact on Canadian imports of interwar Canadian trade policy, including the 1932 Ottawa trade agreements. Rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287339
This paper analyzes frameworks for the design of the rules for international trading, assuming that it is possible to have some rule of law. In the Arrow-Debreu benchmark, where there is no economic power and political power is seemingly irrelevant, there is no need for trade agreements - free...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576561
We use the dynamics of U.S. imports across goods in the period around the U.S.-China trade war with a model of exporter dynamics to estimate the dynamic path of the probability of transiting between Normal Trade Relations and a trade war state. We find (i) there was no increase in the likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486241
How does the conduct of optimal cross-border financial policy change with prevailing trade agreements? We study the joint optimal determination of trade policy and capital- flow management in a two-country, two-good model with trade in goods and assets. While the cooperative optimal allocation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248000
The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) and of cross-border restrictions on data flows has created a host of new questions and related policy dilemmas. This paper addresses two questions: How is digital service trade shaped by (1) AI algorithms and (2) by the interplay between AI algorithms and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437056
GATT and its successor, the WTO. We show that GATT's principle of reciprocity serves to neutralize the world-price effects … provided that the externa- lities associated with trade intervention travel through world prices. We then establish that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472892
The legitimacy of the world trading system is under growing attack, as challenges to its conformity with norms of … fairness and social justice are increasingly voiced by citizens and their governments around the world. Taking a novel "bottom …-related fairness concerns of their citizens. More generally, our findings point to a detailed understanding of real-world perceptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056179
This paper reviews the history of bilateral trade negotiations between Taiwan and the U.S. The question posed at the outset is: does bilateralism enhance or jeopardize multilateralism? The U.S.-Taiwan experience seems to suggest a grossly negative answer. Bilateral negotiations for market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473546
escalation. Yet neoclassical trade theory - and modern Ricardian trade models, in particular - predict that welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334443