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What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467618
major finding is that the volatility of interest rates is increasing in the level of interest rates only for sharply upward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471576
implications of a broad range of U.S. tax code provisions for behavior of interest rates. Determinants of interest rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477933
explored that evidence of excess volatility need not imply the existence of unexploited profit opportunities under the rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478530
-series variation of conditional volatility and skewness of the swap rate distributions implied by the swaption cube. We then develop … and estimate a dynamic term structure model that is consistent with these stylized facts, and use it to infer volatility … these distributions. In particular, we find that volatility, volatility risk premia, skewness, and skewness risk premia are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462108
I revisit the potential costs and benefits for Sweden of joining the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of the European Union. I first show that the Swedish business cycle since the mid-1990s has been closely correlated with the Euro area economies, suggesting that common shocks have been an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464128
Since the mid-1980s, monetary policy has contributed to a great moderation of the housing cycle by responding more proactively to inflation and thereby reducing the boom bust cycle. However, during the period from 2002 to 2005, the short term interest rate path deviated significantly from what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464964
We investigate whether bonds span the volatility risk in the U.S. Treasury market, as predicted by most 'affine' term … cross-section of fixed-maturity zero-coupon bonds ("realized yield volatility") through the use of high-frequency data. We … find that the yield curve fails to span yield volatility, as the systematic volatility factors are largely unrelated to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465694
We develop a tractable and flexible stochastic volatility multi-factor model of the term structure of interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466328
Most affine models of the term structure with stochastic volatility (SV) predict that the variance of the short rate is … stochastic volatility (USV)." Of the models tested, only the A1(4) USV model is found to generate both realistic volatility … estimates and a good cross-sectional fit. Our findings suggests that interest rate volatility cannot be extracted from the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467934