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We analyze a model of political competition in which the elite forms endogenously to aggregate information and advise the uninformed median voter which candidate to choose. The median voter knows whether or not the endorsed candidate is biased toward the elites, but might still prefer the biased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322896
A key tenet of representative democracy is that politicians' discourse and policies should follow voters' preferences … content of 9,000 primary and general election websites of candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives, 2002-2016, as well … opponent, as compared to the platform of the runner-up who did not qualify for the last round. We conclude that politicians …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322890
One frequently overlooked aspect of the U.S.-style electoral college system is that it discourages election fraud. In a … presidential election based on the popular vote, competing political parties are motivated to manipulate votes in areas where they … electoral college system provides more effective protection against election fraud compared to the popular vote system. While …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322861
interest group's campaign contributions to politicians. We uncover a robust hump-shaped relationship between the voting share … estimates of electoral uncertainty and politicians effectiveness as perceived by the interest groups. Our approach also … implicitly delivers a novel method for estimating the impact of campaign spending on election outcomes: we find that an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464972
This paper analyzes the effort allocation choices of incumbent politicians when voters are uncertain about politician … would strictly prefer to have a consensus policy implemented. As such, the desire of politicians to convince voters that … allocations. Transparency over the politicians' effort choices can re-enforce the distortions, and for some parameters can be bad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457246
. We find that the share of voters who state a pre-election vote intention corresponding to their final vote choice … increases by 15 percentage points in the two months preceding the election. Changes in individual vote choices mostly result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480516
We test whether politicians can use direct contact to reconnect with citizens, increase turnout, and win votes. During …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481628
In 2010, we informed a random set of Delhi councilors, some ineligible for re-election in their current ward, that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481883
This paper provides an investigation of the role of momentum and social learning in sequential voting systems. In the … those in early states from voting returns. Candidates experience momentum effects when their performance in early states … exceeds expectations. The empirical application focuses on the responses of daily polling data to the release of voting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465002
In theory, free and fair elections can improve the selection of politicians and incentivize them to exert effort. In … practice, incumbency advantage and coordination issues may lead to the (re)election of bad politicians. We ask whether these … elections, we find that winning an election increases candidates' chances to win the next election by 25.1 percentage points …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435103