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default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458098
the including credit "outlook" or "watch" signals by credit rating agencies. In addition, contagion from rating downgrades …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459536
This paper analyzes the sovereign risk contagion using credit default swaps (CDS) and bond premiums for the major … eurozone countries. By emphasizing several econometric approaches (nonlinear regression, quantile regression and Bayesian … their sovereign debt and fiscal situations. Thus, the integration among the different eurozone countries is stable, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459921
Is the pricing of sovereign risk linear during bearish episodes? Or can initial shocks on economic fundamentals be exacerbated by endogenous factors that create nonlinearities? We test for nonlinearities in the sovereign bond market of European peripheral countries during the debt crisis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458679
The recent debt crises in Europe and the U.S. states feature similar sharp increases in spreads on government debt but also show important differences. In Europe, the crisis occurred at high government indebtedness levels and had spillovers to the private sector. In the United States, state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457212
contagion. We propose a simple framework that accounts for how this effect adds up across the banking sector. Our framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460123
This paper analyzes the contagion effects associated with the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and identifies bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421197
This paper studies the interaction of government debt and financial markets. Both markets are fragile: excessively responsive to fundamentals and prone to strategic uncertainty. This interaction, termed a 'diabolic loop', is driven by government choice to bail out banks and the resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459383
Interconnections between banking crises and fiscal crises have a long history. We document the long-run evolution from classic banking panics towards modern banking crises where financial guarantees are associated with crisis resolution. Recent crises feature a feedback loop between bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456615
We propose a simple model of the sovereign-bank diabolic loop, and establish four results. First, the diabolic loop can be avoided by restricting banks domestic sovereign exposures relative to their equity. Second, equity requirements can be lowered if banks only hold senior domestic sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456680