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interaction of momentum with market capitalization, firm age, trading volume, and stock return volatility. However, the model … investment model succeeds in capturing average momentum profits, reversal of momentum in long horizons, as well as the … fails to reproduce procyclical momentum profits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461911
expected returns that those that have experienced large declines and capital losses. The profitability of a momentum strategy … profitability of a momentum strategy. When this capital gains variable is used as a regressor along with past returns and volume to … predict future returns, the momentum effect disappears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469981
momentum. Market risk, size and book-to- market effects do not explain the drifts. Security analysts' earnings forecasts also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473492
Despite their strong positive average returns across numerous asset classes, momentum strategies can experience … infrequent and persistent strings of negative returns. These momentum crashes are partly forecastable. They occur in "panic … option-like payoffs of past losers. An implementable dynamic momentum strategy based on forecasts of momentum's mean and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458228
We use mutual fund flows as a measure for individual investor sentiment for different stocks, and find that high sentiment predicts low future returns at long horizons. Fund flows are dumb money -- by reallocating across different mutual funds, retail investors reduce their wealth in the long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467153
) procedure can be decomposed into additional components that include impatient "informed trading" and "liquidity provision … to benefit from trading in stocks affected by information events, we find that funds trading such stocks exhibit superior … performance that is more likely to persist. Further, such superior performance comes mostly from impatient informed trading. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464038
We study empirical patterns in investment behavior using a comprehensive data set of defined contribution plans. Using plan-level portfolio allocation data for the near universe of 401(k) plans over the period 2009-2019, we document substantial differences in investment behavior across plans....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794630
stock and into other forms of equity. Overall, for company stock decisions, participants in our sample appear to be momentum … investors when making contribution decisions and contrarian investors when making trading decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468466
Proposals for mandatory private saving accounts differ in the degree of investment discretion that they provide to individual savers, and in their provisions for annuitization of accumulated assets. With respect to investment choices, some argue that individuals must be prevented from investing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473072
scrutiny. We take up this task, and analyze the trading behavior of investors with prospect theory preferences. We find that … been documented in settings such as the housing market, futures trading, and executive stock options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466268