Showing 1 - 10 of 1,778
Obstfeld and Rogoff (2001) propose that trade frictions lie behind key puzzles in international macroeconomics. We take a dynamic multicountry model of international trade, production, and investment to data from 19 countries to assess this proposition quantitatively. Using the framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456897
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output-the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457809
sub-standard economic performance. They are: long-term trends in world commodity prices, volatility, crowding out of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462796
We develop a model of the political consequences of public income volatility. As is standard, political incentives … create inefficient policies, but we show that making income uncertain creates specific new effects. Future volatility reduces … policy less costly. We show how this model can help think about the connection between volatility and economic growth and in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457462
This paper shows that the effects on real income and the price level of the 1973-1974 oil price increase are quite ambiguous on both theoretical and empirical grounds. The theoretical analysis reviews standard results and extends them to analyze the steady-state equilibrium and endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478494
In the 1970s, large increases in the price of oil were associated with sharp decreases in output and large increases in inflation. In the 2000s, and at least until the end of 2007, even larger increases in the price of oil were associated with much milder movements in output and inflation. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463182
We characterize the macroeconomic performance of a set of industrialized economies in the aftermath of the oil price shocks of the 1970s and of the last decade, focusing on the differences across episodes. We examine four different hypotheses for the mild effects on inflation and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465282
The production smoothing model of inventory behavior has a long and venerable history, and theoretical foundations which seem very strong. Yet certain overwhelming facts seem not only to defy explanation within the production smoothing framework, but actually to argue that the basic idea of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477840
their precautionary savings. This depresses interest rates, especially in the short run, and generates an output drop, even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461074
relationship between trade and exchange rate volatility / Christian Broda and John Romalis -- Comments: Chaiyasit Anuchitworawong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909722