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Commodity prices and markets : [NBER East Asia Seminar on Economics, volume 20 ; collection of papers that were presented at the 20th Annual East Asia Seminar on Economics (EASE) ;...
Itō, Takatoshi (contributor); Rose, Andrew (contributor) - 2011
Forecasting currencies with commodity prices -- Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments / Jan J. J. Groen and Paolo A. Pesenti -- Comments: Kalok Chan, Roberto S. Mariano -- The relationship between commodity prices and currency exchange rates: evidence from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909722
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Inventories and the Short-Run Dynamics of Commodity Prices
Pindyck, Robert S. - 1990
The idea that wages rise relative to alternatives as job seniority accumulates is the foundation of the theory of specific human capital, as well as other widely accepted theories of compensation. The fact that persons with longer job tenures typically earn higher wages tends to support these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475740
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Financialization in Commodity Markets
Chari, V.V. - 2017
The financialization view is that increased trading in commodity futures markets is associated with increases in the growth rate and volatility of commodity spot prices. This view gained credence because in the 2000s trading volume increased sharply and many commodity prices rose and became more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453945
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Commodity Connectedness
Diebold, Francis X. - 2017
We use variance decompositions from high-dimensional vector autoregressions to characterize connectedness in 19 key commodity return volatilities, 2011-2016. We study both static (full-sample) and dynamic (rolling-sample) connectedness. We summarize and visualize the results using tools from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454997
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The Financialization of Commodity Markets
Cheng, Ing-Haw - 2013
The large inflow of investment capital to commodity futures markets in the last decade has generated a heated debate about whether financialization distorts commodity prices. Rather than focusing on the opposing views concerning whether investment flows either did or did not cause a price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459020
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From Boom to Bust : A Typology of Real Commodity Prices in the Long Run
Jacks, David S. - 2013
This paper considers the evidence on real commodity prices from 1900 to 2015 for 40 commodities, representing 8.72 trillion US dollars of production in 2011. In so doing, it suggests and documents a comprehensive typology of real commodity prices, comprising long-run trends, medium-run cycles,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459787
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Commodity Price Volatility and World Market Integration since 1700
Jacks, David S. - 2009
of life deep into the 18th century. Does world market integration breed more or less commodity price volatility? The … been associated with much greater commodity price volatility, while world market integration associated with peace and pro … never been constant. Globalization increased poor country specialization in commodities when the world went open after the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463899
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On The Behavior of Commodity Prices
Deaton, Angus - 1990
The classical theory of commodity price determination integrates myopic supply and demand on the one hand with competitive storage (speculation) under rational expectations on the other. Taking into account the fact that inventories mist; be non-negative, this paper derives from the theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475591
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Commodity Prices as a Leading Indicator of Inflation
Boughton, James M. - 1988
This paper studies the value of broad commodity price indexes as predictors of consumer price inflation in the G-7 industrial countries. After an introduction, the paper discusses the theoretical relationship between commodity and consumer prices and the conditions under which, in general, one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476310
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The Excess Co-Movement of Commodity Prices
Pindyck, Robert S. - 1988
This paper tests and confirms the existence of a puzzling phenomenon - the prices of largely unrelated raw commodities have a persistent tendency to move together. We show that this comovement of prices is well in excess of anything that can be explained by the common effects of past, current,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476393