Showing 1 - 10 of 2,358
Most economists and observers place the lack of fiscal discipline at the core of the recent Argentine crisis. This begs the question of how countries like Belgium or Italy (pre-Maastricht) could run large fiscal deficits and accumulate debts far beyond those of Argentina, without experiencing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468161
different, the risk dynamics share remarkably common features: PC1 shocks come solely from asset volatility, while PC2 shocks …We characterize how risk evolves during a crisis. Using high-frequency data, we find that the first two principal …, we provide novel identification of risk dynamics by linking these changes to news about the virus and epidemiological …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635656
Global risk and risk aversion shocks have distinct distributional impacts on emerging market capital flows and returns …. In particular, we find salient consequences of these different global shocks for tail risk in emerging markets. Open …-end mutual fund trading provides a key mechanism linking shocks facing global investors to extreme capital flow and return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435139
economic activity decelerates, both unconditionally and following exogenous U.S. monetary policy tightening. We show that the … draw inaccurate conclusions about emerging economies' monetary policy cyclicality due to inherent risk premia in those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388814
for wealthier and less risk-averse households …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512064
We show that multinational firms transmit shocks across countries through their internal capital markets. We study a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247983
China's remarkable run of persistently high growth in recent decades is all the more stunning in light of the country's low levels of financial and institutional development, state-dominated economy, and nondemocratic government. Notwithstanding the inefficient and risky growth model, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250169
We document regime change in the U.S. Treasury market post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC): dealers switched from a net …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334440
We propose a new tool to filter non-linear dynamic models that does not require the researcher to specify the model fully and can be implemented without solving the model. If two conditions are satisfied, we can use a flexible statistical model and a known measurement equation to back out the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635717
calibration matching data from the U.S. and G10 currency countries implies that persistent shocks to relative demand, reflected in …We study the source of exchange rate fluctuations using a general equilibrium model accommodating shocks in goods and … financial markets. These shocks differ in their induced comovements between exchange rates, interest rates, and quantities. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072917