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unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high … frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011. Significant time variation in news effects is present for those … announcements that have the largest effects on asset prices. The time variation in effects is explained by economic conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459140
We present a standard model of financial innovation, in which intermediaries engineer securities with cash flows that investors seek, but modify two assumptions. First, investors (and possibly intermediaries) neglect certain unlikely risks. Second, investors demand securities with safe cash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462586
crisis. The model generates debt over-issuance, "this time is different" beliefs, neglect of tail risks, under- and over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457791
Do firms release news strategically in response to investor inattention? We consider news about earnings and analyze the response of returns to announcements on Friday and other weekdays. Friday announcements have less immediate and more delayed stock return response. The delayed response as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466993
An analysis of trades in the Finnish stock market around the turn of the year shows that Finnish investors tend to realize losses more than gains towards the end of December. They also buy back the same stocks they recently sold, with a repurchase rate that depends on the size of the capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469970
We use a repeated survey of an Italian bank's clients to test whether investors' risk aversion increases following the 2008 financial crisis. We find that both a qualitative and a quantitative measure of risk aversion increases substantially after the crisis. After considering standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459377
Over the past two decades, respondents to the Shiller Investor Confidence Surveys assess the probability of a catastrophic stock market crash to be much higher that the historical frequency of such events. We decompose these crash probabilities into fundamental and subjective components and use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576618
Macroeconomic news announcements are elaborate and multi-dimensional. We consider a framework in which jumps in asset prices around macroeconomic news and monetary policy announcements reflect both the response to observed surprises in headline numbers and latent factors, reflecting other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480669
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central banks and a comprehensive classification of events, we decompose news conveyed by central banks into news about monetary policy, economic growth, and separately, shocks to risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480685
We examined financial literacy among the young using data from the 1997 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. We showed that financial literacy is low among the young; fewer than one-third of young adults possess basic knowledge of interest rates, inflation, and risk diversification. Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463298