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This address considers the epidemiology of narratives relevant to economic fluctuations. The human brain has always … been highly tuned towards narratives, whether factual or not, to justify ongoing actions, even such basic actions as … spending and investing. Stories motivate and connect activities to deeply felt values and needs. Narratives "go viral" and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481063
The narrative approach to macroeconomic identification uses qualitative sources, such as newspapers or government records, to provide information that can help establish causal relationships. This paper discusses the requirements for rigorous narrative analysis using fresh research on the impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250187
We study the generation, transmission, and effects of causal narratives - narratives which describe a (potentially … narratives manipulate the beliefs and actions of subjects in ways predicted by theory. We then show how to 'grow' these types of … narratives organically by asking subjects who observe a dataset of variables to advise future subjects on what actions to take …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362000
We study the macroeconomic implications of narratives, defined as beliefs about the economy that spread contagiously …. In an otherwise standard business-cycle model, narratives generate persistent and belief-driven fluctuations …. Sufficiently contagious narratives can "go viral," generating hysteresis in the model's unique equilibrium. Empirically, we use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576631