Flynn, Joel P.; Sastry, Karthik - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We study the macroeconomic implications of narratives, defined as beliefs about the economy that spread contagiously …. In an otherwise standard business-cycle model, narratives generate persistent and belief-driven fluctuations …. Sufficiently contagious narratives can "go viral," generating hysteresis in the model's unique equilibrium. Empirically, we use …