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We reconsider the empirical links between volatility and growth between 1970 and 2007. There is a strong and … their economies. The amount of volatility driven by these external factors is highly correlated, cross-sectionally, with the … overall amount of volatility in GDP growth. There is also a strong correlation between a country's average growth rate and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463424
of life deep into the 18th century. Does world market integration breed more or less commodity price volatility? The … been associated with much greater commodity price volatility, while world market integration associated with peace and pro …, globalization has been good for growth in poor countries at least by diminishing price volatility. But comparative advantage has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463899
, modern economists argue that volatility reduces growth in the poor periphery. This paper assess these de …-industrialization and volatility forces between 1782 and 1913 during the Great Divergence. First, it argues that the new economic order had …-reducing terms of trade volatility was the other. Between 1820 and 1870, terms of trade volatility was much greater in the poor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464805
capital flows and capital flows volatility during this period. We find that institutional quality is an important determinant …. Policy plays a significant role in explaining the changes in the level of capital flows over time and their volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466976
A gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international … exchange rate volatility, even after controlling for a host of features, including the endogenous nature of the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471350
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479665
We study the quarterly bilateral real exchange rate and the relative price of non-traded to traded goods for 1225 country pairs over 1980-2005. We show that the two variables are positively correlated, but that movements in the relative price measure are smaller than those in the real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464210
-varying uncertainty (i.e., volatility) about future economic prospects drive asset prices. These two channels of economic risks can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465457
I study a small open economy in which elections affect and are affected by capital inflows. Two candidates, one favoring workers and another favoring entrepreneurs, run for office; the winner chooses taxes, which affect investment returns. A pro labor victory results in a "sudden stop" in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466216
Did adoption of the gold standard exacerbate or diminish macroeconomic volatility? Supporters thought so, critics … thought not, and theory offers ambiguous messages. A hard exchange-rate regime such as the gold standard might limit monetary … absorption in a world of real shocks and nominal stickiness. A simple model shows how a lack of flexibility can be discerned in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466876