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This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains that a small open economy can derive from insuring against natural disasters with catastrophe (CAT) bonds. We calibrate the model by reference to the risk of earthquakes, floods and storms in developing countries. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456995
improve. When a climatological or geographical disaster occurs, its CAB, national saving, and investment tend to improve. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145057
We survey the microeconomics literature that studies how firms in the developing world are adapting to extreme weather …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056174
pre-disaster trend, and do not recover within twenty years. Both rich and poor countries exhibit this response, with … suppression of annual growth rates spread across the fifteen years following disaster, generating large and significant cumulative … continuous exposure to disaster. Linking these results to projections of future cyclone activity, we estimate that under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458315
A growing body of evidence suggests that uncertainty is counter cyclical, rising sharply in recessions and falling in booms. But what is the causal relationship between uncertainty and growth? To identify this we construct cross country panel data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459187
How do innovators respond to the shock of a natural disaster? Do natural disasters spur technical innovations that can …, droughts and flooding on the innovation of their respective mitigation technologies. Using patent and disaster data, our study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459440
-makers not to invest in adaptation measures until after it is too late. In an interdependent world with no intervention by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460523
calibrated with observed peak-to-trough disaster sizes accords with the average equity premium with a reasonable coefficient of … disaster probabilities. Business-cycle models with shocks to disaster probability have implications for the cyclical behavior …. Richer models of disaster dynamics allow for transitions between normalcy and disaster, bring in post-crisis recoveries, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461330
welfare cost of aggregate consumption uncertainty. In the baseline simulation, the welfare cost of disaster risk is large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464956
This paper focuses on the interaction between uncertainty and insurability in the context of some of the risks associated with climate change. It discusses the evolution of insured losses due to weather-related disasters over the past decade, and the key drivers of the sharp increases in both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465836