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We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
switch to alternatives such as gold; it is also reduced immediately prior to debt-ceiling standoffs and with increases in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436994
This paper defines risk-on risk-off (RORO), an elusive terminology in pervasive use, as the variation in global investor risk aversion. Our high-frequency RORO index captures time-varying investor risk appetite across multiple dimensions: advanced economy credit risk, equity market volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437038
Over the last two decades, the unprecedented increase in non-bank financial intermediation, particularly open-end mutual funds and ETFs, accounts for nearly half of the external financing flows to emerging markets exceeding cross-border lending by global banks. Evidence suggests that investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250161
Global risk and risk aversion shocks have distinct distributional impacts on emerging market capital flows and returns. In particular, we find salient consequences of these different global shocks for tail risk in emerging markets. Open-end mutual fund trading provides a key mechanism linking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435139
This paper studies the impact of investor composition on the sovereign debt market and the implied funding costs to borrowers. We construct an aggregate data set of sovereign debt holdings by foreign and domestic bank, non-bank private, and official investors for 95 countries over twenty years....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210115
We investigate how information processing frictions contribute to household suboptimal saving and investment behavior. We find that 60% of open accounts in college 529 savings plans are invested suboptimally due to high expenses and tax inefficiency. Such investments yield an expected loss of 9%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537742
Frequent, yet uninformed, fund flows in Chilean pension plans generate substantial trading in currency markets due to the high allocation to international securities. These non-fundamental flows have a significant impact on the Chilean peso, which is estimated to have a relatively low price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477245
We introduce safe asset demand for dollar-denominated bonds into a tractable incomplete-market model of exchange rates …. The convenience yield on dollar bonds enters as a stochastic wedge in the Euler equations for exchange rate determination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468291
Financial markets play two roles with implications for the exchange rate: they accommodate risk sharing and act as a source of shocks. In prevailing theories, these roles are seen as mutually exclusive and individually face challenges in explaining exchange rate dynamics. However, we demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544715