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We present novel insights on the role of international trade following unanticipated government spending and income tax changes in a flexible exchange rate environment. In a simple two-country, two-good model, we show analytically that fiscal multipliers can be larger in economies more open to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481200
Government spending at the zero lower bound (ZLB) is not necessarily welfare enhancing, even when its output multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457979
This paper explores several issues concerning a possible zero lower bound (ZLB) including its theoretical rationale; the magnitude of effects of low sustained inflation on real interest rates; the validity of analyzing monetary policy in models with no monetary variables; and the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471090
In a standard open-economy New Keynesian model, the effective lower bound causes anomalies: output and terms of trade respond to a supply shock in the opposite direction compared to normal times. We introduce a tractable two-country model to accommodate for unconventional monetary policy. In our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453006
The fiscal "multiplier" measures how many additional dollars of output are gained or lost for each dollar of fiscal … stimulus or contraction. In practice, the multiplier at any point in time depends on the monetary policy response and existing …, we show how to quantify the importance of these monetary-fiscal interactions. In the data, the fiscal multiplier varies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481896
.8. Economic theory of how to map these multipliers into a national multiplier has also advanced. Drawing on the theoretical …A geographic cross-sectional fiscal spending multiplier measures the effect of an increase in spending in one region in … Reinvestment Act and a survey of empirical studies, my preferred point estimate for a cross-sectional output multiplier is 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455105
) a fiscal multiplier of one and so a missing intercept close to zero. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794586
falls significantly in response to an increase in government spending. These results imply that the average GDP multiplier … lies below unity. In order to determine whether concurrent increases in tax rates dampen the spending multiplier, I use two … spending multiplier. In the second part of the paper, I explore the effects of government spending on labor markets. I find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460871
government purchases multiplier. But equally crucial is the size of the government purchases multiplicand--the change in … government purchases of goods and services that the multiplier actually multiplies. Using new data from the Bureau of Economic … government purchases multiplier, changes in government purchases have had no material effect on the growth of GDP since the time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462152
Factor supply increases (depresses) output for many of the same reasons that the government spending multiplier might …" and suggest that the government spending multiplier is less than one, even during the recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462850