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, including influential studies identifying price bubbles in periods of high volatility. Here we consider a model of the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459625
growth rate and volatility of commodity spot prices. This view gained credence because in the 2000s trading volume increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453945
is good news for the theory and for market efficiency, not bad news. In terms of residual FCOJ return volatility, we also … fundamentals, focusing primarily on temperature. We show that when theory clearly identifies the fundamental, i.e., at temperatures …-thirds of the entire winter return variability occurs on these days. Moreover, when theory suggests no such relation, i.e., at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469188
We use variance decompositions from high-dimensional vector autoregressions to characterize connectedness in 19 key commodity return volatilities, 2011-2016. We study both static (full-sample) and dynamic (rolling-sample) connectedness. We summarize and visualize the results using tools from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454997
The classical theory of commodity price determination integrates myopic supply and demand on the one hand with … non-negative, this paper derives from the theory testable implications on the behavior of prices, and makes a first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475591
The idea that wages rise relative to alternatives as job seniority accumulates is the foundation of the theory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475740
This paper tests and confirms the existence of a puzzling phenomenon - the prices of largely unrelated raw commodities have a persistent tendency to move together. We show that this comovement of prices is well in excess of anything that can be explained by the common effects of past, current,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476393
financial investors affect risk sharing and information discovery in commodity markets. We argue that financialization has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459020
stock price reaction to news, and hence lowering the stock return volatility. Thus, in addition to uncertainty about … fundamentals, uncertainty about CEO quality is also a source of stock return volatility, which decreases over a CEO's tenure as the …'s prospects. Overall, uncertainty about management quality appears to be an important source of stock return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459779
pressure and increased volatility in financial markets. Pension funds increased cash holdings as a response. Our findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456514