Showing 1 - 10 of 1,298
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476706
It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively … correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level … empirical evidence on asymmetry to Japanese stocks. Although volatility asymmetry is present and significant at the market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472796
-diffusions, and models of stochastic volatility. This paper explores the statistical properties of these models with a view to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472845
This paper examines the economic environments in which past U.S. stock market booms occurred as a first step toward understanding how asset price booms come about and whether monetary policy should be used to defuse booms. We identify several episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467986
in emerging countries tend to have shorter duration and larger amplitude and volatility than in developed countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468881
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469093
This paper studies the role of insider trading in explaining cross-country differences in stock market volatility. It … volatile stock markets, even after one controls for liquidity/maturity of the market, and the volatility of the underlying … fundamentals (volatility of real output and of monetary and fiscal policies). Moreover, the effect of insider trading is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469159
ownership and trades by large institutions lead to higher volatility and to increased return and liquidity comovement. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456429
Three mutually uncorrelated economic disturbances that we measure empirically explain 85% of the quarterly variation in real stock market wealth since 1952. A model is employed to interpret these disturbances in terms of three latent primitive shocks. In the short run, shocks that affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458846
tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459667