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We study a sequential experimentation model with endogenous feedback. Agents choose between a safe and risky action, the latter generating stochastic rewards. When making this choice, each agent is selfishly motivated (myopic). However, agents can disclose their experiences to a public record,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544761
We survey the recent literature on learning in financial markets. Our main theme is that many financial market … uncertain and subject to learning. We discuss phenomena related to the volatility and predictability of asset returns, stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464003
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748
Using a high-stakes field experiment conducted with a financial brokerage, we implement a novel design to separately … asset, his peers may also want to purchase it, both because they learn from his choice ("social learning") and because his … mechanisms underlying herding behavior in financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460419
We study the perfect Bayesian equilibrium of a model of learning over a general social network. Each individual … characterize the conditions under which there will be asymptotic learning -- that is, the conditions under which, as the social … unbounded (meaning that the implied likelihood ratios are unbounded), there will be asymptotic learning as long as there is some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464607
A growing literature uses now widely-available data on beliefs and expectations in the estimation of structural models. In this chapter, we review this literature, with an emphasis on models of individual and household behavior. We first show how expectations data have been used to relax strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210122
exploration and lower individual and group payoffs. We test our predictions in an online lab experiment and show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544680
informed traders also know. There can be multiple herding equilibria, and herding speculators may even choose to study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475787
they make stock recommendations. Our empirical results support the herding hypothesis. Stock price reactions following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465790
A sender sends a signal about a state to a receiver who takes an action that determines a payoff. A moderator can block some or all of the sender's signal before it reaches the receiver. When the moderator's policy is transparent to the receiver, the moderator can improve the payoff by blocking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486247