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We present a simple long-run aggregate demand and supply framework for evaluating long-run inflation. The framework illustrates how exogenous economic and political economy factors generate central bank pressures that can impact long-run inflation as well as transitions between steady states. We...
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Modern theory has delivered both the conservative central banker and the principal-agent approaches as rationales for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473825
credibility). We then use panel VARs based on both factor models and observed data to ascertain the impact of global shocks …, financial shocks, trade shocks and credibility shocks on the EMEs versus the AEs … credibility in EMEs was more fragile than was the case for the AEs in the face of the global shocks (from the US) than was the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480286
An independent central bank can manage its balance sheet and its capital so as to commit itself to a depreciation of its currency and an exchange-rate peg. This way, the central bank can implement the optimal escape from a liquidity trap, which involves a commitment to higher future inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468011
An exchange-rate system is a set of contracts which commits central banks to intervene in the foreign-exchange market. The design features of the system include: the rules of intervention, the limits placed on exchange rates and the "crisis scenario" which describes possible transitions to new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475590
A new measure of credibility is constructed as a function of the differential between observed inflation and some … estimate of the inflation rate that the central bank targets. The target is assumed to be met flexibly. Credibility is … credibility and central banks with strong institutional feaures tend to do better when hit by a shock of the magnitude of the 2007 …
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