Showing 1 - 10 of 2,204
We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign … networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit default swap spreads and the detailed structure of financial linkages … generates only small spillovers to other sovereigns. These results imply that credit markets do not demand a significant premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458098
process in Greece, Spain, Ireland, and Portugal and, by way of contrast, in Germany, a country that did experience a reform … back into financial conditions, prolonging the credit boom and delaying the response to the bubble when the speculative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459762
All of the attempts to end the euro crisis and to return the Eurozone countries to healthy growth rates of income and … by the individual Eurozone countries. I describe some of these fiscal options after reviewing the history of failed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457804
This paper looks at the short history of the Eurozone through the lens of an evolutionary approach to forming new … institutions. The euro has operated as a currency without a state, under the dominance of Germany. This has so far allowed the euro … to achieve a number of design objectives, and this may continue, as long as Germany does not shirk its growing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458424
In many countries, bankruptcy is associated with low recovery by creditors. We develop a model of corporate credit … markets in such an environment. Corporate credit is provided by either a bond market or risk-averse banks. Restructuring of …-country and using insolvency reforms as natural experiments. Our empirical estimates suggest that a one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459246
We propose a simple model of the sovereign-bank diabolic loop, and establish four results. First, the diabolic loop can be avoided by restricting banks domestic sovereign exposures relative to their equity. Second, equity requirements can be lowered if banks only hold senior domestic sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456680
IMF forecasts and the EU's Fiscal Compact foresee Europe's heavily indebted countries running primary budget surpluses of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt/GDP ratios down to the Compact's 60 percent target. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458350
, which inflated their economies by allowing credit booms. Core EMU countries took on extra foreign leverage to expose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458631
This paper investigates the impact of credit rating changes on the sovereign spreads in the European Union and … investigates the macro and financial factors that account for the time varying effects of a given credit rating change. We find … country groupings and dynamic structures. Dynamic panel model estimates indicate that a credit rating upgrade decreases CDS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459536
Is the pricing of sovereign risk linear during bearish episodes? Or can initial shocks on economic fundamentals be exacerbated by endogenous factors that create nonlinearities? We test for nonlinearities in the sovereign bond market of European peripheral countries during the debt crisis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458679