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findings have implications for market-wide volatility - the model-implied correlations alone can explain 44% of the cross …-section of aggregate volatility. The results are robust to controlling for a number of alternative factors put forth by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457188
This paper examines the potential influence of changing volatility in stock market prices on the level of stock market … prices. It demonstrates that volatility is only weakly serially correlated, implying that shocks to volatility do not persist …. These shocks can therefore have only a small impact on stockmarket prices, since changes in volatility affect expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477626
) levels of volatility. These results provide a novel perspective on both the equity risk premium and excess volatility puzzles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481562
mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … increasing the persistence of volatility fluctuations and their impact on stock prices. This calibration fits the predictive … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463859
We characterize the joint dynamics of dividends, expected returns, stochastic volatility, and prices. In particular …, with a given dividend process, one of the processes of the expected return, the stock volatility, or the price …-dividend ratio fully determines the other two. For example, together with dividends, the stock volatility process fully determines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465813
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469093
has focused on average returns, we analyze the volatility of the returns in emerging equity markets. We characterize the … time-series of volatility in emerging markets and explore the distributional foundations of the variance process. Of … particular interest is evidence of asymmetries in volatility and the evolution of the variance process after periods of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473563
This paper compares several statistical models for monthly stock return volatility. The focus is on U.S. data from 1834 … volatility that are inconsistent with stationary models for conditional heteroskedasticity, We show the importance of … of stock volatility, even over the 1834-1925 period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476093
that, after monetary policy announcements, the conditional volatility rises more for firms with stickier prices than for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459801
the United States to show how stock volatility has changed over time. It also uses various measures of volatility implied … 2008. This episode was associated with historically high levels of stock market volatility, particularly among financial … sector stocks, but the market did not expect volatility to remain high for long and it did not. This is in sharp contrast to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461682