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This paper addresses the puzzle of regime-dependent volatility in foreign exchange. We extend the literature in two … induce volatility under flexible rates because they have portfolio-balance effects on price, whereas under fixed rates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470227
. Assuming that news has only country specific autocorrelation such as a heat wave. any intra-daily volatility spillovers (meteor …. Using a volatility type of vector autoregression we examine the impact of news in one market on the time path of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476459
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476706
. exchange-rate volatility. B. The observed pattern of spot exchange-rate vs. forward exchange-rate volatility. Second, a widely … neglected reason for exchange-rate volatility, activist monetary policy, will be studied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478498
"Fixing" in the foreign exchange market is a market practice that determines the bid-ask-mid-point exchange rate at a scheduled time, 10am in Tokyo and 4pm in London. The fixing exchange rate is then applied to the settlement of foreign exchange transactions between banks and retail customers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455860
volatility rises and as export demand shocks become more correlated. These theoretical results are confirmed by empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474100
domestic investment and foreign direct investment (FDI), and the correlation between exchange rate volatility and investment … a flexible exchange rate regime. It is shown that a fixed exchange rate regime is more conducive to FDI relative to a … exchange rate volatility under a flexible exchange rate is shown to depend on the nature of the shocks. If the dominant shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475028
examines how the bid-ask spread and conditional volatility in the yen/dollar foreign exchange market changed around the time of … volatility, the deregulation was associated with a convergence of Japanese quoted spreads toward those of other banks. (2 …) Modeling the persistence in volatility reveals that deregulation lowered conditional volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471543
relationship between carry trade excess returns and exchange rate volatility, both realized and implied. Specifically, we extend … persistent excess returns that unwind sharply resulting in losses when actual and implied volatility rise …We next also document significant volatility regime sensitivity for Fama regressions estimated over low and high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463126
Macroeconomic models of nominal exchange rates perform poorly. In sample, R2 statistics as high as 10 percent are rare. Out of sample, these models are typically out-forecast by a na‹ve random walk. This paper presents a model of a new kind. Instead of relying exclusively on macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471467