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This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output fluctuations. The paper introduces a new specification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470116
There is growing concern about a decline in the total fertility rate worldwide, but nowhere is the concern greater than in OECD countries, some of which already face the prospect of population decline as well. While the trend is largely the result of structural economic and social changes, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465787
This paper employs a multi-country large scale Overlapping Generations model with uninsurable labor productivity and mortality risk to quantify the impact of the demographic transition towards an older population in industrialized countries on world-wide rates of return, international capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466211
In order to quantify these effects, we develop a computational general equilibrium model. We feed this multi-country overlapping generations model with detailed long-term demographic projections for seven world regions. Our simulations indicate that capital flows from fast-aging regions to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466821
We propose a clientele-based model of the yield curve and optimal maturity structure of government debt. Clienteles are generations of agents at different lifecycle stages in an overlapping-generations economy. An optimal maturity structure exists in the absence of distortionary taxes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459739
In recent years, the renewed strength of immigration to the United States has sparked a debate about the economic … effects of immigration. A central issue in this debate has been the fiscal impact of immigrants. Most research in this area … fiscal responsibility' is followed, whether there is a fiscal gain from immigration depends on the extent to which government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471759
In the absence of distortionary tax and spending policies, freer immigration and trade for a country would often be …, can do neither of these. This suggests quite different political coalitions may organize around trade and immigration. In … strategies and also fiscal jurisdictions. We then apply this framework to the case of individual immigration and trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467659
As the U.S. population ages, the growing retiree-worker ratio increases the burden of public retirement systems. Is it efficient to maintain a defined benefit social security system? Should PAYGO benefits be reduced and private retirement savings be encouraged? The paper examines these questions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471770
In a static setup, migration of unskilled labor may be resisted by the entire native-born population because, being relatively low earners, migrants are net beneficiaries of the fiscal system. However, the paper shows that with a pay-as-you-go pension, an important pillar of the welfare state,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471787
We explore the consequences for asset pricing of admitting a bequest motive into an otherwise standard overlapping generations model where agents trade equity and perpetual debt securities. Prices of securities are seen to be approximately 50% higher in an economy with bequests as compared to an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467563