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The Fiscal Consequences of Missing an Inflation Target
Andreolli, Michele; Rey, Hélène - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
The European Central Bank is unique in setting monetary policy for several sovereign states with heterogeneous debt levels and different maturity structures. The monetary-fiscal nexus is central to the functioning of the euro area. We focus on one particular aspect of that nexus, the effect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537713
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Monetary Policy without Moving Interest Rates : The Fed Non-Yield Shock
Boehm, Christoph E.; Kroner, T. Niklas - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Existing high-frequency monetary policy shocks explain surprisingly little variation in stock prices and exchange rates around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-based procedure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665
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What Rule for the Federal Reserve? Forecast Targeting
Svensson, Lars E.O. - 2017
How would the policy rule of forecast targeting work for the Federal Reserve? To what extent is the Federal Reserve … already practicing forecast targeting? Forecast targeting means selecting a policy rate and policy-rate path so that the …, forecast targeting allows all relevant information to be taken into account and has the flexibility and robustness to adapt to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453711
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How Should Monetary Policy be Conducted in an Era of Price Stability?
Svensson, Lars E.O. - 2000
) "forecast targeting," and (3) monetary targeting. Both (1) and (3) are found to be inferior to forecast targeting in maintaining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471258
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Optimal Interest-Rate Rules in a Forward-Looking Model, and Inflation Stabilization versus Price-Level Stabilization
Giannoni, Marc P. - 2010
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462667
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Optimal Interest-Rate Rules : I. General Theory
Giannoni, Marc P. - 2003
This paper proposes a general method for deriving an optimal monetary policy rule in the case of a dynamic linear rational-expectations model and a quadratic objective function for policy. A commitment to a rule of the type proposed results in a determinate equilibrium in which the responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469284
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Sticky Discount Rates
Fukui, Masao; Gormsen, Niels; Huber, Kilian - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We show that firms' nominal required returns to capital (i.e., their discount rates) are sticky with respect to expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real discount rates and thereby raise real investment. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
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Monetary Policy Wedges and the Long-term Liabilities of Households and Firms
Binsbergen, Jules H. van; Grotteria, Marco - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We examine the transmission of monetary policy shocks to the long-duration liabilities of households and firms using high-frequency variation in 10-year swap rates around FOMC announcements. We find that four weeks after the announcement mortgage rates move one-for-one with 10-year swap rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486229
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Loose Monetary Policy and Financial Instability
Grimm, Maximilian; Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
Do periods of persistently loose monetary policy increase financial fragility and the likelihood of a financial crisis? This is a central question for policymakers, yet the literature does not provide systematic empirical evidence about this link at the aggregate level. In this paper we fill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226155
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Inequality and the Zero Lower Bound
Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; Marbet, Joël; Nuño, Galo; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper studies how household inequality shapes the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates on aggregate dynamics. To do so, we consider a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model with an occasionally binding ZLB and solve for its fully non-linear stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287383