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that the distribution of measured consumption growth rates should be independent of variables that are exogenous to the … individual consumer when we allow for measurement error in consumption and for variation in preferences. This proposition is … tested by cross sectional regressions of individual consumption growth on a variety of variables that should not be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476422
Macroeconomic research on consumption has been influenced profoundly by rational expectations. First, rational … expectations together with the hypothesis of constant expected real interest rates implies that consumption should evolve as a … its failure. Three branches of the literature have developed. The first relies on the durability of consumption to explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476803
private-sector consumption in the high-budget-deficit economy of Israel during the first half of the 1980s. The paper develops … and estimates an intertemporal optimizing model of consumption choice by finite-lived individuals. The evidence supports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477038
Over the last 15 years, the typical household has increasingly concentrated its spending on a few preferred products. However, this is not driven by "superstar" products capturing larger market shares. Instead, households increasingly purchase different products from each other. As a result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480080
Sir John Hick's Value and Capital provided the theoretical foundation for an important element of modern macroeconomics. Intertemporal substitution - deferral or acceleration of economic activity in response to the real interest rate and other incentives - is the mechanism generally relied upon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476268
We document some key facts about aggregate consumption and its subcomponents over time. We then document the behavior … of some important determinants of consumption, such as consumers' expectations about their future income, and changes in … consumption during the Great Recession can be explained by the observed drops in wealth and income expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460969
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336569
beliefs about nominal debt and their own real net wealth. These changes in beliefs causally affect actual consumption and … hypothetical debt decisions. Our findings suggest that real wealth mediates the sensitivity of consumption to inflation once …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372429
Consumption is the largest component of GDP. Since the 1950s, the life cycle and the permanent income models have … constituted the main analytical tools to the study of consumption behavior, both at the micro and at the aggregate levels. Since … the literature to estimate preferences is the lack of a consumption function.' A challenge for future research is to use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472339
This paper discusses the recent research on the consumption function that has attempted to relax the assumption of … lowers the level of consumption, increases the expected rate of growth of consumption, and increases the response of … consumption to news about income. Moreover, changes in the amount of uncertainty are a potentially important source of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476571