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Nonrenewable Resource Prices : Deterministic or Stochastic Trends?

Lee, Junsoo - 2005

Lagrangian Multiplier unit root test that allows for two endogenously determined structural breaks with and without a quadratic … support characterizing natural resource prices as stationary around deterministic trends with structural breaks. This result … generally, we show that both pre-testing for unit roots with breaks and allowing for breaks in the forecast model can improve …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467192

Recursive and Sequential Tests of the Unit Root and Trend Break Hypothesis : Theory and International Evidence

Banerjee, Anindya - 1990

This paper investigates the possibility, raised by Perron (1989, 1990a), that aggregate economic time series can be characterized as being stationary around broken trend lines. Unlike Perron, we treat the break date as unknown a priori. Asymptotic distributions are developed for recursive,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475507

Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs

Furceri, Davide - 2018

We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases lead, in the medium term, to economically and statistically significant declines...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481049

Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates

Froot, Kenneth A. - 1994

This paper reviews the large and growing literature which tests PPP and other models of the long-run real exchange rate. We distinguish three different stages of PPP testing and focus on what has been learned from each. The most important overall lesson has been that the real exchange rate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473947

Shining a Light on Purchasing Power Parities

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2018

study of PPP-adjusted estimates of GDP around the world between 1992 and 2010. First, we find that while market exchange … optimal. Using data from the Penn World Tables, we find that, indeed, it is optimal to only use the latest price data, and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453295

Precaution Versus Mercantilism : Reserve Accumulation, Capital Controls, and the Real Exchange Rate

Choi, Woo Jin - 2017

We document a new international stylized fact describing the relationship between real exchange rates and external asset holdings. Economists have long argued that the real exchange rate is associated with the net international investment position, appreciating as external wealth increases. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455340

Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates

Eichenbaum, Martin - 2017

This paper studies how the monetary policy regime affects the relative importance of nominal exchange rates and inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about countries with floating exchange rates where monetary policy controls inflation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455523