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We review the literature on sovereign debt. We organize our survey around three central questions: (1) Why do sovereign debtors ever repay their debts? (2) What burdens, in the form of distortions and inefficiencies, does sovereign debt impose? and (3) How might debt be restructured to reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473755
International data suggests that fluctuations in the level and volatility of the world interest rate (as measured by … economies. We incorporate an estimated time-varying process for the world interest rate into a model of sovereign default … calibrated to a panel of emerging economies. Time variation in the world interest rate interacts with default incentives in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481187
This paper presents a continuous-time model of sovereign debt. In it, a relatively impatient sovereign government's hidden type switches back and forth between a commitment type, which cannot default, and an optimizing type, which can default at any time, and assume outside lenders have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453038
Emerging economies that are large oil producers have sizable external debt, their country risk rises when oil prices fall, and several of them have defaulted at least once since 1979. Moreover, while oil and non-oil output reduce country risk on impact and in the long-run, oil reserves reduce it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247980
Lucas (1990) argued that it was a paradox that more capital does not flow from rich countries to poor countries. He rejected the standard explanation of expropriation risk and argued that paucity of capital flows to poor countries must instead be rooted in externalities in human capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468398
Sovereign credit ratings play an important role in determining the terms and the extent to which countries have access to international capital markets. In principle, there is no reason why changes in sovereign credit ratings should be expected to systematically predict a currency crisis. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469977
When a bank experiences a negative shock to its equity, one way to return to target leverage is to sell assets. If … asset sales occur at depressed prices, then one bank's sales may impact other banks with common exposures, resulting in … explains how the distribution of bank leverage and risk exposures contributes to a form of systemic risk. We compute bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460123
Using data from 56 nations over 45 years, we find that nations that are more likely to elect left wing governments face higher (and more volatile) sovereign spreads. To explain these facts, we build a sovereign default model in which two policymakers (left and right) alternate in power. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616644
Using a novel data set containing all bids by all bidders for Mexican government bonds from 2001 to 2017, we demonstrate that asymmetric information about default risk is a key determinant of primary market bond yields. Empirically, large bidders do not pay more for bonds than the average bidder...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482676
We study the interactions between sovereign debt default and maturity choice in a setting with limited commitment for repayment as well as future debt issuances. Our main finding is that under a wide range of conditions the sovereign should, as long as default is not preferable, remain passive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455833