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canonical medium scale DSGE model. When monetary policy is characterized by a Taylor rule, the output multiplier (the change in … cycle, whereas the welfare multiplier (the consumption equivalent change in a measure of aggregate welfare for the same …. The welfare multiplier is still procyclical under passive monetary policy, albeit less so than under a Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458914
We analyze whether government spending multipliers differ by the sign of the shock. Using aggregate historical U …, the resulting multipliers do not differ by sign of the shock. Thus, we find no evidence of asymmetry of government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247936
The outcome of any important macroeconomic policy change is the net effect of forces operating on different parts of the economy. A central challenge facing policy makers is how to assess the relative strength of those forces. Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are the leading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452910
business-cycle simulation, I show that a 15% short equity position achieves over 40% of the welfare gains from completing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465260
This paper explores how state fiscal institutions and political circumstances affect the dynamics of state taxes and spending during periods of fiscal stress. The analysis focuses on the late 1980s, when sharp economic downturns in several regions, coupled with increased expenditure demands, led...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474582
Governments in emerging markets often behave like a "tormented insurer," trying to use non-state-contingent debt instruments to avoid cuts in payments to private agents despite large fluctuations in public revenues. In the data, average public debt-GDP ratios decline as the variability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466076
This paper takes stock of what we have learned from the "Renaissance" in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis. I first summarize the new innovations in methodology and discuss the various strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches. Reviewing the estimates, I come to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479486
We measure the size of the fiscal multiplier using a heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets, capital and …We find that market incompleteness is key to determining the size of the fiscal multiplier, which is uniquely … determined in our model for any combination of fiscal and monetary policies of interest. The multiplier is 1.34 if deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479524
The fiscal "multiplier" measures how many additional dollars of output are gained or lost for each dollar of fiscal … stimulus or contraction. In practice, the multiplier at any point in time depends on the monetary policy response and existing …, we show how to quantify the importance of these monetary-fiscal interactions. In the data, the fiscal multiplier varies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481896
substitution effects, yielding uniform comparisons across models. By constraining the multiplier to tight ranges, model and prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461214