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informal communication - including unattributed communication -- plays a central role in monetary policy communication. This … contrasts with the standard communications framework in which communication should be public and on-the-record because it serves … to ensure accountability and policy effectiveness. I lay out possible benefits of using unattributed communication as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482494
communication by central banks about their policy decisions, the targets that they seek to achieve through those decisions, and the … central bank's view of the economy's likely future evolution. This paper considers the role of such communication in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466773
Over the last two decades, communication has become an increasingly important aspect of monetary policy. These real …-world developments have spawned a huge new scholarly literature on central bank communication -- mostly empirical, and almost all of it … written in this decade. We survey this ever-growing literature. The evidence suggests that communication can be an important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464715
We develop a model of monetary policy with two key features: (i) the central bank has private information about its long-run target for the policy rate; and (ii) the central bank is averse to bond-market volatility. In this setting, discretionary monetary policy is gradualist, or inertial, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457100
communication about future interest rate decisions based on information from the Internet and news sources. We apply the methodology … announcements, whereas longer-dated Treasuries mainly react to changes in policy communication. Using lower frequency data, we find …, we find communication to be a more important determinant of Treasury rates than contemporaneous policy rate decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463283
This paper studies how the creation of a European Central Bank (ECB) will change the political economy of monetary policy in Europe. The twelve governors of the national Central Banks of the EEC have recently proposed a statute for the ECB which delineates its institutional structure. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475129
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central … composition depending on the communication channel used by central banks. Non-monetary news prevails in about 40% of policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480685
Narrative records in US newspapers reveal that about 70 percent of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members who served during the last 55 years are perceived to have had persistent policy preferences over time, as either inflation-fighting hawks or growth-promoting doves. The rest are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453069
We assess the power of forward guidance--promises about future interest rates--as a monetary tool in a liquidity trap using a quantitative incomplete-markets model. Our results suggest the effects of forward guidance are negligible. A commitment to keep future nominal interest rates low for a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453195
We present updated estimates of central bank for 100 countries up through 2006 and use them to analyze both the determinants and consequences of monetary policy transparency in an integrated econometric framework. We establish that there has been significant movement in the direction of greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463856