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growth rate and volatility of commodity spot prices. This view gained credence because in the 2000s trading volume increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453945
, including influential studies identifying price bubbles in periods of high volatility. Here we consider a model of the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459625
We use variance decompositions from high-dimensional vector autoregressions to characterize connectedness in 19 key commodity return volatilities, 2011-2016. We study both static (full-sample) and dynamic (rolling-sample) connectedness. We summarize and visualize the results using tools from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454997
The large inflow of investment capital to commodity futures markets in the last decade has generated a heated debate about whether financialization distorts commodity prices. Rather than focusing on the opposing views concerning whether investment flows either did or did not cause a price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459020
relationship between trade and exchange rate volatility / Christian Broda and John Romalis -- Comments: Chaiyasit Anuchitworawong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909722
Techniques of regulated Brownian motion are used to analyze the behavior of the exchange rate when official policy reaction functions are subject to future stochastic changes. We examine exchange-rate dynamics in alternative cases where the authorities promise (i) to confine a floating rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476221
We propose a novel method to estimate dynamic equilibrium models with stochastic volatility. First, we characterize the … exploits the profusion of shocks in stochastic volatility models, is versatile and computationally tractable even in large … methods to estimate a business cycle model of the U.S. economy with both stochastic volatility and parameter drifting in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460260
The classical theory of commodity price determination integrates myopic supply and demand on the one hand with … non-negative, this paper derives from the theory testable implications on the behavior of prices, and makes a first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475591
Motivated by the literature on limits-to-arbitrage, we build an equilibrium model of commodity markets in which speculators are capital constrained, and commodity producers have hedging demands for commodity futures. Increases (decreases) in producers' hedging demand (speculators' risk-capacity)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461784
structure to commodity futures prices, and develop new algorithms for estimation of such models using unbalanced data sets in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459606