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We introduce DOSE--Dynamically Optimized Sequential Experimentation--to elicit preference parameters. DOSE starts with a model of preferences and a prior over the parameters of that model, then dynamically chooses a customized question sequence for each participant according to an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094855
We measure individual-level loss aversion using three incentivized, representative surveys of the U.S. population (combined N=3,000). We find that around 50% of the U.S. population is loss tolerant, with many participants accepting negative-expected-value gambles. This is counter to earlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334460
Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210074
Prosumers are becoming increasingly important in global energy consumption and production. We partner with an energy …-month period. As a policy instrument, we explore how simple nudges affect choices on both the consumption and production …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056163
Why did the real interest rate decline and the equity premium increase over the last 30 years? This paper assesses the role of uncertainty and credit market frictions. We quantify a model with heterogeneous households using data on asset prices and macro aggregates, as well as on households'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512052
consumption contingent on aggregate shocks in financial markets. The first result is that if aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks … aggregate states in which consumption is more volatile. For instance, this can provide an efficiency justification for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460841
parsimonious and quite tractable way. I illustrate the approach via a boundedly rational version of the consumption-saving life …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460875
economic shocks, and it also explores how people may react by changing their consumption, saving and investment, work and … work hours, consumption, saving, and equity exposure; later in life, they will work more, retire later, consume less … workers lost a substantial portion of their retirement saving. The financial sector implosion produced an economic crisis for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461524
fully attend to consumption in all periods but fail to attend to some future lumpy expenditure opportunities. This asymmetry … reminders may increase saving, and that reminders will be more effective when they increase the salience of a specific … expenditure. We find support for these predictions in three field experiments that randomly assign reminders to new savings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462450
help explain the aggregate movements in saving, spending, and debt in 2008. Because the rebate was large and distributed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463228