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novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS … Bayesian grounds in a way similar to the well-known Schwarz criterion. Of 32 explanatory variables we find 11 to be robustly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000
substantially from the standard regression setting. Bayesian posterior distributions for the regression parameters are obtained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471691
This paper proposes a Bayesian method of performance evaluation for investment managers. We begin with a flexible set …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471727
formalize this problem using a multi-prior Bayesian approach that maps each source to a Bayesian model. These models are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938725
We survey work using Bayesian learning in macroeconomics, highlighting common themes and new directions. First, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660016
model of Bayesian persuasion in which the Receiver can detect lies with positive probability. We show that the Sender lies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210093
Consumer choices are constrained in many markets due to either supply-side rationing or information frictions. Examples include matching markets for schools and colleges; entry-level labor markets; limited brand awareness and inattention in consumer markets; and selective admissions to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191087
arrivals. Each of these arriving consumers then solves a standard discrete choice problem. We present a Bayesian IV estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794558
This paper illustrates the usefulness of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in approximating DSGE model posterior distributions. We show how the tempering schedule can be chosen adaptively, document the accuracy and runtime benefits of generalized data tempering for "online" estimation (that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479349
The DeGroot model has emerged as a credible alternative to the standard Bayesian model for studying learning on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479453