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Consider an environment where long-lived experts repeatedly interact with short-lived customers. In periods when an … appropriate. We find that there exists an equilibrium in which experts always play truthfully and choose the customer's preferred …If experts have private information regarding their own payoffs as well as what treatments are appropriate, then there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463727
combines these methods by using observed decisions by experts to reduce the demensionality of the feature space and allow the … categorization of decisions by their propensity score. The fact that the human capital of experts is heterogeneous implies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456551
We examine misconduct in credence good markets with price taking experts. We propose a market-level model in which … price-taking experts extract surplus based on the value of their firm's brand and their own skill. We test the predictions … independent experts, despite doing substantially less business. In addition, more experienced experts attract more complaints per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460054
This paper explores abatement investment and location responses to environmental policy, which takes the form of emission taxes or tradeable emission permits and subsidies against the costs of abatement investment, under uncertainty and irreversibility. Uncertainty is associated with output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471512
Trade policy uncertainty (TPU) has become an important source of economic uncertainty and research. We review the main sources and measures of TPU. We then provide a conceptual framework for modeling TPU and methods of estimating and quantifying its effects. We analyze its role in trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814447
This paper studies optimal fiscal policy in an economy where heterogeneous agents with uncertain lifetimes coexist. We show that some plausible social welfare functions lead to time-inconsistent optimal plans, and we suggest restrictions on social preferences that avoid the problem. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477491
In what follows we provide a conceptually correct procedure for determining whether a risky project passes the "potential Pareto improvement" welfare criterion which forms the normative basis of cost-benefit analysis. In this approach the role of secondary markets in providing opportunities for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478938
I characterize a dynamic economy under general distributions of households' risk tolerance, endowments, and beliefs about long-term growth. As the economy expands and the stock market rises (a) the fraction of households with declining consumption-share increases; (b) the wealth-share of high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479404
This paper introduces a formal definition and an experimental measurement of the concept of cognitive uncertainty: people's subjective uncertainty about what the optimal action is. This concept allows us to bring together and partially explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480462
This paper develops a theory of dynamic pessimism and its impact on asset prices. Notions of time-varying pessimism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481947