Showing 1 - 10 of 819
more foreign-currency debt. We propose that monetary policy credibility explains the currency composition of sovereign debt … and nominal bond risks in the presence of risk-averse investors. In our model, low credibility governments inflate during … inflation, investors require risk premia on nominal debt, making nominal debt issuance costly for low credibility governments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456087
This paper investigates progress in the development of models capable of empirically analyzing the evolution of industries. It starts with a parallel between the development of empirical frameworks for static and dynamic analysis of industries: both adapted their frameworks from models taken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456674
This paper provides first and second-order approximation methods for the solution of non-linear dynamic stochastic models in which the exogenous state variables follow conditionally-linear stochastic processes displaying time-varying risk. The first-order approximation is consistent with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462025
Since Black, Jensen, and Scholes (1972) and Fama and MacBeth (1973), the two-pass cross-sectional regression (CSR) methodology has become the most popular approach for estimating and testing asset pricing models. Statistical inference with this method is typically conducted under the assumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463602
The hypothesis that the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate has been consistently rejected in recent empirical studies. This paper examines several sources of measurement error and misspecification that might induce biases in such studies. Although previous inferences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475128
Benchmark finance and macroeconomic models appear to deliver conflicting estimates of the natural rate and bond risk premia. This natural rate puzzle applies not only in the U.S. but across many advanced economies. We use a unified no-arbitrage macro- finance model with two trend factors to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421212
price stability. The benefits of credibility (private inflation expectations coinciding with the inflation target) are … discussed. Credibility improves the tradeoff between inflation variability, output-gap variability and instrument variability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471258
restrictions on expectations that allow the monetary authority to build credibility for a disinflationary policy by demonstrating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471556
Central bank credibility plays a pivotal role in much of the modern literature on monetary policy, yet it is difficult … important issues: why credibility matters, and how credibility can be built. The central bankers' answers are compared with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471626
We examine a central bank's endogenous choice of degree of control and degree of transparency, under both commitment and discretion. Under commitment, we find that the deliberate choice of sloppy control is far less likely under a standard central-bank loss function than reported for a less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471635