Showing 1 - 10 of 8,709
We use newly-available Indian panel data to estimate how the returns to planting-stage investments vary by rainfall realizations. We show that the forecasts significantly affect farmer investment decisions and that these responses account for a substantial fraction of the inter-annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459327
estimation period may be preferable to estimating specification parameters from all available observations. Finally, the hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475683
Despite the clear success of forecast combination in many economic environments, several important issues remain incompletely resolved. The issues relate to selection of the set of forecasts to combine, and whether some form of additional regularization (e.g., shrinkage) is desirable. Against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480620
Evidence of stock return predictability by financial ratios is still controversial, as documented by inconsistent results for in-sample and out-of-sample regressions and by substantial parameter instability. This paper shows that these seemingly incompatible results can be reconciled if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466559
When a rate of return is regressed on a lagged stochastic regressor, such as a dividend yield, the regression disturbance is correlated with the regressor's innovation. The OLS estimator's finite-sample properties, derived here, can depart substantially from the standard regression setting....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471691
A key problem with solar energy is intermittency: solar generators only produce when the sun is shining. This adds to social costs and also requires electricity system operators to reoptimize key decisions with large-scale renewables. We develop a method to quantify the economic value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461571
Policies supporting investment in renewable electricity have been a cornerstone of climate policy in many parts of the world. While previous empirical work explores the economic and environmental impacts of renewable production, the focus has exclusively been on the short-run impacts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480633
inquire systematically as to whether it may prove useful from the vantage point of participants in the weather derivatives … forecasts, but also the long-horizon density forecasts of maximal relevance in weather derivatives contexts. We produce and … evaluate both, with some success. We conclude that additional inquiry into nonstructural weather forecasting methods will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468553
We propose a nonparametric method for estimating the pricing formula of a derivative asset using learning networks … the practical relevance of our network pricing approach, we apply it to the pricing and delta-hedging of S&P 500 futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474210
comparable to that of returns in stock markets. Evidence is shown that there may be only minimal possibility of cross hedging … examined. Such markets, by allowing hedging of these aggregate income risks, might make for dramatically more effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474555