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This paper conducts tests of the rationality of both inflation and short-term interest rate forecasts in the bond … market. These tests are developed with the theory of efficient markets and make use of security price data to infer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478629
There has been a long-running debate about whether stock market prices are determined by fundamentals. To date no consensus has been reached. An important issue in this debate concerns the circumstances in which deviations from fundamentals are consistent with rational behavior. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475283
Costs of attention, while central to choice behavior, have proven hard to measure. We introduce a simple method of recovering them from choice data. Our recovery method rests on the observation that costs of attention play precisely the same role in consumer choice as do a competitive firm's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480875
exchanging ideas, solving work-related problems, generating new knowledge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464513
Welfare Economics. A key theme of Cognitive Economics is finite cognition (often misleadingly called "bounded rationality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457832
We study business cycle fluctuations in heterogeneous-agent general equilibrium models that feature both intensive and extensive margins of labor supply. A nonconvexity in the mapping between time devoted to work and labor services combined with idiosyncratic shocks generates operative extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480638
We analyze the individual and macroeconomic impacts of heterogeneous expectations and action rules within an agent-based model populated by heterogeneous, interacting firms. Agents have to cope with a complex evolving economy characterized by deep uncertainty resulting from technical change,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481880
Artificial states are those in which political borders do not coincide with a division of nationalities desired by the people on the ground. We propose and compute for all countries in the world two new measures how artificial states are. One is based on measuring how borders split ethnic groups...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466337
We develop an efficient and easy-to-use computational method for solving a wide class of general equilibrium heterogeneous agent models with aggregate shocks, together with an open source suite of codes that implement our algorithms in an easy-to-use toolbox. Our method extends standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455187
We argue that a 2-agent version of the standard New Keynesian model--where a "worker" receives only labor income and a "capitalist" only profit income-- offers insights about how income inequality affects the monetary transmission mechanism. Under rigid prices, monetary policy affects the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456259