Showing 1 - 10 of 8,161
robust violations of discounted expected utility, inconsistent with both prospect theory probability weighting and models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462308
We estimate discount rates of 555 subjects using a laboratory task and find that these individual discount rates predict inter-individual variation in field behaviors (e.g., exercise, BMI, smoking). The correlation between the discount rate and each field behavior is small: none exceeds 0.28 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464379
At each age an organism produces energy by foraging and allocates this energy among reproduction, survival, growth, and intergenerational transfers. We characterize the optimal set of allocation decisions that maximizes reproductive fitness. Time preference (the discount rate) is derived from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464462
thereafter, which is inconsistent with exponential discounting but consistent with hyperbolic discounting. The implied marginal … rate of time preference declines and then rises. Estimates of the quasi-hyperbolic discounting parameter range from 0.48 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466736
Is the standard hyperbolic-discounting model capable of robust qualitative predictions for savings behavior? Despite … simple condition comparing the interest rate to a threshold made up of impatience parameters only. Our robustness results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453457
about an intertemporal tradeoff - e.g., due to cognitive load - exhibit more discounting. In our framework, patience is … and combining those signals with priors to form posteriors. These posterior expectations exhibit as-if discounting: agents … forecasting (e.g., those with more intelligence) exhibit less discounting. Agents with more domain-relevant experience exhibit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455427
magnitude-dependent discounting with time distortion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457571
, which can account for many of the known intertemporal choice anomalies, to discounting models. We conduct an out …-of-sample, cross-validated comparison of intertemporal choice models. Heuristic models outperform traditional utility discounting … models, including models of exponential and hyperbolic discounting. The best performing models predict choices by using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457718
) conditional choice probability (CCP) approach to the setting where individuals may have hyperbolic discounting time preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462218
Uncertainty about the timing of retirement is a major financial risk with implications for decision making and welfare over the life cycle. We estimate that the standard deviation of the difference between retirement expectations and actual retirement dates ranges from 4.28 to 6.92 years. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456070