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We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an … epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth … during a pandemic. Valuations would be significantly lower absent mitigation and a high vaccine arrival rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481801
The COVID-19 pandemic has forced federal, state and local policymakers to respond by legislating, enacting, and … COVID-19 pandemic reduces the impact of these policies. Our results imply that while social distancing policies do lead to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482350
the pandemic-era surge in consumer price inflation in the euro area. Initially, supply-chain pressures increased inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421216
We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied … emerge. First, all indicators show huge uncertainty jumps in reaction to the pandemic and its economic fallout. Indeed, most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481613
1. Expected pandemic deaths exceed 700,000 per year worldwide with an associated annual mortality cost of estimated at ….3% in high-income countries, mostly as a result of much higher pandemic death rates in lower-income environments …4. The distribution of pandemic severity has an exceptionally fat tail: about 95% of the expected cost results from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456538
Was the $278 billion reboot of the $800 billion Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) in early 2021 disbursed equitably to minority communities? This paper provides the first analysis of how PPP funds were disbursed to minority communities in the third and final round of the program, which was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938701
We examine the effect of the Covid pandemic on willingness to work along both the extensive and intensive margins of … that the sharp increase in the AHG during the Covid pandemic essentially disappeared by the end of 2021. We also document a … sharp decline in desired work hours during the pandemic that persists through the end of 2021 and is roughly double the drop …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938753
We examine the impact of the global recession triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic on women's versus men's employment … moniker "mancessions," we show that the pandemic recession of 2020 was a "shecession" in most countries with larger employment …, we also emphasize how policy choices such as furloughing policies and the extent of school closures shape the pandemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510511
The advent of a pandemic is an exogenous shock, but the dynamics of contagion are very much endogenous --and depend on … alleviating economic losses but also via incentives that affect the trajectory of the pandemic itself. We develop this idea in a … dynamic equilibrium model of an economy subject to a pandemic. Just as in conventional SIR models, infection rates depend on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510515
We analyze the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on state and local government finances, with an emphasis on health …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510548