Showing 1 - 10 of 4,158
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914
We create a newspaper-based Equity Market Volatility (EMV) tracker that moves with the VIX and with the realized … volatility of returns on the S&P 500. Parsing the underlying text, we find that 72 percent of EMV articles discuss the … Macroeconomic Outlook, and 44 percent discuss Commodity Markets. Policy news is another major source of volatility: 35 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479671
volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476144
reservations about the impact of foreign speculators on both expected" returns and market volatility. We propose a cross … receipts country funds and other financial instruments, in an extranational market and market volatility in emerging equity … and the world market return. " Our empirical approach is designed to control for other economic events which might …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472501
This paper examines the potential influence of changing volatility in stock market prices on the level of stock market … prices. It demonstrates that volatility is only weakly serially correlated, implying that shocks to volatility do not persist …. These shocks can therefore have only a small impact on stockmarket prices, since changes in volatility affect expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477626
) levels of volatility. These results provide a novel perspective on both the equity risk premium and excess volatility puzzles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481562
increasing the persistence of volatility fluctuations and their impact on stock prices. This calibration fits the predictive … mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463859
We characterize the joint dynamics of dividends, expected returns, stochastic volatility, and prices. In particular …, with a given dividend process, one of the processes of the expected return, the stock volatility, or the price …-dividend ratio fully determines the other two. For example, together with dividends, the stock volatility process fully determines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465813
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469093
world factors on the volatility in emerging markets. Finally, we investigate the cross-section of volatility. We use … has focused on average returns, we analyze the volatility of the returns in emerging equity markets. We characterize the … time-series of volatility in emerging markets and explore the distributional foundations of the variance process. Of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473563