Showing 1 - 10 of 8,095
This paper presents a bound on the variance of the price-dividend ratio and a decomposition of the variance of the price-dividend ratio into components that reflect variation in expected future discount rates and variation in expected future dividend growth. Unobserved discount rates needed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475884
) levels of volatility. These results provide a novel perspective on both the equity risk premium and excess volatility puzzles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481562
tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459667
We exploit direct model-free measures of daily equity return volatility and correlation obtained from high …, solidify and extend existing characterizations of stock return volatility and correlation. We find that the unconditional … portfolio diversification when the market is most volatile. Our findings are broadly consistent with a latent volatility fact or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470803
This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471074
This paper studies three different measures of monthly stock market volatility: the time-series volatility of daily … market returns within the month; the cross-sectional volatility or 'dispersion' of daily returns on industry portfolios …, within the month. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471650
volatility autocorrelation comes from the fundamental that the trading process is pricing or, is caused by the trading process … itself. Returns and volume data argue, in the context of our model, that persistent volatility is caused by traders … experimenting with different beliefs based upon past profit experience and their estimates of future profit experience. A major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473910
It is sometimes argued that an increase in stock market volatility raises required stock returns, and thus lowers stock … for this volatility feedback effect. The resulting model is asymmetric, because volatility feedback amplifies large … for large crashes. The model also implies that volatility feedback is more important when volatility is high. In U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475263
correlated, contrary to what theory suggests - for eight advanced country exchange rates against the US dollar, over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453372
mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … increasing the persistence of volatility fluctuations and their impact on stock prices. This calibration fits the predictive … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463859