Showing 1 - 10 of 615
Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210074
Using Italian data that includes both inflation forecasts of firms and external information on their balance sheets, we study the causal effect of changes in the dispersion of beliefs about future inflation on the misallocation of resources. We find that as disagreement increases, so does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250207
tax and transfer systems. With constant primary deficits, there exist two steady-states, and the price level and inflation … experiments to illustrate how redistribution and precautionary saving amplify price level increases in response to fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322820
agencies and private organizations all conducting investigations into the pricing patterns for generic drugs. Price spikes for … selected old, off-patent drugs have also been widely reported in the media. To place these generic price increases into context …, we construct two chained Laspeyres consumer price indexes (CPIs), using the 2007-2016 IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480066
previous research has indicated. That is, seasonal price movements have become more prominent in the relatively stable … in prices differs greatly by item, making it difficult to generalize about seasonal price movements. A casual reading … likelihood of allowing noise in the aggregate CPI at a seasonal frequency. This argues in favor of seasonally adjusting the index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473706
We study how individuals' memories of inflation shape their expectations about future inflation using both surveys and laboratory experiments. Recalling having lived through prior disinflations has pronounced effects on how long-lived people expect the current inflation episode to last....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447317
We show that standard menu cost models cannot simultaneously reproduce the dispersion in the size of micro-price … changes and the extent to which the fraction of price changes increases with inflation in the U.S. time-series. Though the … Golosov and Lucas (2007) model generates fluctuations in the fraction of price changes, it predicts too little dispersion in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635711
domestic and import price Phillips Curves up, similar to reduced-form markup shocks. Further, data on prices and quantities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250196
This paper uses the onset of COVID-19 to examine how countries construct their policy packages in response to a severe negative shock. We use several new datasets to track the use of a large variety of policy tools: announced fiscal stimulus (both above- and below-the-line), monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287372
We present a simple long-run aggregate demand and supply framework for evaluating long-run inflation. The framework illustrates how exogenous economic and political economy factors generate central bank pressures that can impact long-run inflation as well as transitions between steady states. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528348