Showing 1 - 10 of 7,181
Consider an environment where long-lived experts repeatedly interact with short-lived customers. In periods when an … appropriate. We find that there exists an equilibrium in which experts always play truthfully and choose the customer's preferred …If experts have private information regarding their own payoffs as well as what treatments are appropriate, then there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463727
intermediate view: that both data and theory are useful for decision-making. We investigate optimal portfolio choice for an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465488
We use data from the Survey of Professional Forecasters to compare point forecasts of GDP growth and inflation with the subjective probability distributions held by forecasters. We find that SPF forecasters summarize their underlying distributions in different ways and that their summaries tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466693
combines these methods by using observed decisions by experts to reduce the demensionality of the feature space and allow the … categorization of decisions by their propensity score. The fact that the human capital of experts is heterogeneous implies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456551
We examine misconduct in credence good markets with price taking experts. We propose a market-level model in which … price-taking experts extract surplus based on the value of their firm's brand and their own skill. We test the predictions … independent experts, despite doing substantially less business. In addition, more experienced experts attract more complaints per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460054
Testing life-cycle models and other economic models of saving and consumption at micro level requires knowledge of individuals' subjective believes of their mortality risk. Previous studies have shown that individual responses on subjective survival probabilities are generally consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469223
Investigators of social differentials in health outcomes commonly augment incomplete micro data by appending socioeconomic characteristics of residential areas (such as median income in a zip code) to proxy for individual characteristics. However, little empirical attention has been paid to how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473497
In the Health and Retirement Survey respondents were asked about the chances they would live to 75 or to 85, and the chances they would work after age 62 or 65. We analyze the responses to determine if they behave like probabilities, if their averages are close to average probabilities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474380
Continuous-time Markov processes can be characterized conveniently by their infinitesimal generators. For such processes there exist forward and reverse-time generators. We show how to use these generators to construct moment conditions implied by stationary Markov processes. Generalized method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474503
The appeal of expected utility theory as a basis for a descriptive model of risky decision making has diminished is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474843