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A key policy question is: How high an inflation rate should central banks target? This depends crucially on the costs … of inflation. An important concern is that high inflation will lead to inefficient price dispersion. Workhorse New … Keynesian models imply that this cost of inflation is very large. An increase in steady state inflation from 0% to 10% yields a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456173
A central question in applied research is to estimate the effect of an exogenous intervention or shock on an outcome. The intervention can affect the outcome and controls on impact and over time. Moreover, there can be subsequent feedback between outcomes, controls and the intervention. Many of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056147
adjustment. As a result, the response of inflation to nominal shocks is both sluggish and hump-shaped. The model can also … qualitatively capture a number of stylized facts about price setting at the micro level and inflation at the macro level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464463
This paper analyzes the long-run determinants of inflation differentials in a monetary union. First, we aim at …some stylized facts relating the regional dispersion in headline inflation rates in the euro area as well as in the …-traded sector as the primary cause of price and inflation differentials, with shocks to productivity in the traded sector being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467206
Mankiw [1982] explores the Permanent Income Hypothesis implication that durable expenditures follow an ARMA(1,1) representation. He finds that durable expenditures are represented by an AR(1) process which implies that the rate of depreciation of durables, under the PIH model, is 100%. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470965
We model dividend and consumption growth rates as containing a small long-run predictable component and economic uncertainty (i.e., growth rate volatility) as being time-varying. The magnitudes of the predictable variation and changing volatility in growth rates, as in the data, are quite small....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470673
I translate familiar concepts of discrete-time time-series to contnuous-time equivalent. I cover lag operators, ARMA models, the relation between levels and differences, integration and cointegration, and the Hansen-Sargent prediction formulas
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460479
survey-based experiment obtained during a period of government manipulation of inflation statistics in Argentina (2006 …-2015). This period is interesting because of the attention to inflation information and the availability of both official and … extract all its useful content. We also find evidence of an asymmetric reaction to inflation signals, with expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456571
-form solution for a long-run Phillips curve which relates average output gap to average wage inflation: it is virtually vertical at … high inflation and flattens at low inflation. Macroeconomic volatility shifts the curve outward and reduces output. The … results imply that stabilization policies play an important role, and that optimal inflation may be positive and differ across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462893
macroeconomic series (inflation, output, hours, interest rates, and wages), and which can be used to inform applied monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463915