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(GFC) of 2007-2008. It was greatly aided by the adoption of inflation targeting. In this paper we evaluate this convergence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480286
In this paper we critically review the literature on the political economy of monetary policy, with an eye on the questions raised by the recent financial crisis. We begin with a discussion of rules versus discretion. We then examine the issue of Central Banks independence both in normal times,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462794
Japan suffered a very high inflation rate in 1973-74. The CPI inflation rate rose to near 30% in 1974, the highest rate … in the postwar Japanese history after the chaotic hyperinflation following the end of the Second World War. Traditionally …, the oil crisis is blamed for the 1973-74 high inflation. However, due to monetary policy decisions in 1972-73, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462925
We present a simple long-run aggregate demand and supply framework for evaluating long-run inflation. The framework …-run inflation as well as transitions between steady states. We use the analysis to provide a fresh perspective on the forces that … drove global inflation downward over the past four decades. We argue that for inflation to remain low and stable in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528348
interest rates by critically surveying theories about (a) optimal anticipated inflation, (b) optimal unanticipated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481961
Brazil has had a long period of high inflation. It peaked around 100 percent per year in 1964, decreased until the … crisis in the early 1980s. We show that the high-inflation period (1960-1994) was characterized by a combination of fiscal … deficits, passive monetary policy, and constraints on debt financing. The transition to the low-inflation period (1995 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479377
recession of 2008-2009, to think about fiscal pressures on US inflation, and what sequence of events might surround such an … inflation. I emphasize that a fiscal inflation can come well before large deficits or monetization are realized, and is likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462568
We provide a comprehensive account of the dynamics of eurozone countries from 2000 to 2012. We analyze private leverage, fiscal policy, labor costs and interest rates and we propose a strategy to separate the impact of credit cycles, excessive government spending, and sudden stops. We then ask...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458093
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458428
We analyze the impact of fiscal and monetary stimulus in an economy with mortgage debt, where inflation redistributes … inflation, increasing consumption demand and house prices. The power of fiscal stimulus grows when borrowers are more indebted …. We then show quantitatively that transfers followed by easy monetary policy cause a surge in inflation which helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576602